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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.

In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is projected by the projections to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.5 targets.

T.J. Hockenson has put up a massive 49.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

With a 58.8% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the league has been the Minnesota Vikings.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.

T.J. Hockenson's 50.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a material diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.8% figure.

T.J. Hockenson's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating a mere 3.35 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.42 mark last season.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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