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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+131/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.42 seconds per play.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

Terry McLaurin has been among the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a terrific 4.8 receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Terry McLaurin's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 61.8% to 69.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

Terry McLaurin's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 68.0.

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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