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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to notch 7.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this week (28.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (22.4% in games he has played).
  • Terry McLaurin has been among the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 4.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.8%) to WRs this year (61.8%).

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