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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 13.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The Patriots defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

This week, Terry McLaurin is anticipated by the model to slot into the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.8 targets.

When it comes to air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a colossal 92.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Terry McLaurin's 8.3 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 9.9 mark.

Terry McLaurin's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, notching a mere 3.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.84 figure last season.

The Patriots pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.64 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

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