Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+109/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.42 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
Terry McLaurin has been among the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 69.0 yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.
Terry McLaurin's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 61.8% to 69.5%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Terry McLaurin has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
Terry McLaurin's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 68.0.
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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