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Terry McLaurin
NFL · Player Props
Terry McLaurin
WR · Washington Commanders
Receiving TD
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:45 PM UTC
NFL Props Terry McLaurin Receiving TD

Terry McLaurin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+243/-391).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +251 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +243.

Favors Over
  • The Commanders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.71 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
  • Terry McLaurin has accumulated a colossal 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wide receivers.
Favors Under
  • Terry McLaurin's 45.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 68.0.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the league (58.1%) to wideouts since the start of last season (58.1%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys safeties profile as the 8th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders have faced a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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