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Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Terrace Marshall Jr. to be a much smaller part of his team's air attack this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.4% in games he has played).

Terrace Marshall Jr. has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 56.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile among wide receivers

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