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Terrace Marshall Jr.
NFL · Player Props
Terrace Marshall Jr.
WR · Carolina Panthers
Receptions
Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 18, 2023 6:41 PM UTC
NFL Props Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terrace Marshall Jr. to be a much smaller part of his team's air attack this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.4% in games he has played).
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 56.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile among wide receivers
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