Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Terrace Marshall Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Terrace Marshall Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Terrace Marshall to be much more involved in his offense's passing game this week (19.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Terrace Marshall's pass-catching performance been refined this season, compiling 2.6 yards per game vs a measly 1.4 last season.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
Terrace Marshall's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.9% to 56.5%.

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