Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Terrace Marshall Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Terrace Marshall Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-853).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +436 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +400.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terrace Marshall has posted quite a few more air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (15.0 per game).
Terrace Marshall's 36.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 14.6.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in football to wideouts: 1.15 per game this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.74 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
Terrace Marshall's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.9% to 55.0%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) versus wide receivers this year (60.9%).
The Carolina Panthers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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