Tee Higgins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-199).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The model projects the Bengals to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 68.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With an elite 20.3% Red Zone Target Share (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Tee Higgins places as one of the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
Tee Higgins has accumulated a whopping 95.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Favors Under
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Texans defense has yielded a paltry 56.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in the league.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Texans defense has conceded a mere 0.67 passing TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.