Tee Higgins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Touchdowns

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Tee Higgins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-138).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 64.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% red zone pass rate.
With a remarkable 22.1% Red Zone Target Rate (89th percentile) last year, Tee Higgins ranks as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
When talking about air yards, Tee Higgins ranks in the towering 91st percentile among WRs last year, accumulating a staggering 91.0 per game.
Tee Higgins ranks in the 80th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 52.6 mark last year.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.7%) versus wideouts last year (61.7%).

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