Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-150).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 66.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call 66.0 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (38.9 per game) this year.
In this week's contest, Tee Higgins is projected by the model to place in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.3 targets.
Favors Under
The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Falcons safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.