Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+142/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.
Tee Higgins has run a route on 86.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
The projections expect Tee Higgins to accumulate 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Tee Higgins's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 61.9% to 52.6%.

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