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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

The model projects Tee Higgins to total 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point spike in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Tee Higgins has been more heavily incorporated in his team's passing offense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Tee Higgins's 2.9 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.3 figure.

Tee Higgins's 43.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a noteable regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 71.6% rate.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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