Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.
The projections expect Tee Higgins to garner 8.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Tee Higgins's 66.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 47.4.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 119.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Tee Higgins's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.6% to 38.3%.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-best in football.

More Tee Higgins Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow