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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect Tee Higgins to earn 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
  • Tee Higgins's 50.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 78th percentile for wide receivers.
  • Tee Higgins has been among the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the NFL (70.1%) to WRs since the start of last season (70.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Tee Higgins's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.6% to 46.0%.

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