Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
This week's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.
In this week's game, Tee Higgins is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 80th percentile among wide receivers with 7.2 targets.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the projections to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Tee Higgins's receiving skills have tailed off this season, totaling a mere 3.9 adjusted catches compared to 5.3 last season.
Tee Higgins's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 71.6% to 56.2%.

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