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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -157.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Tee Higgins's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wide receivers.
  • Tee Higgins has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 5.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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