Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.3% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to garner 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a more important option in his team's pass game this week (26.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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