Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to garner 7.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has been among the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 5.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
Tee Higgins's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.3% to 71.6%.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tee Higgins's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 60.1.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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