Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -161 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to garner 7.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
Tee Higgins has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 5.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
Tee Higgins's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 67.3% to 75.5%.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Tee Higgins's 46.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 60.1.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wideouts this year (64.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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