Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 67.2% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 5.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
Tee Higgins's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 67.3% to 75.7%.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Tee Higgins's 50.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 60.1.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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