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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 67.2% pass rate.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Tee Higgins has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 5.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
  • Tee Higgins's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 67.3% to 75.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
  • Tee Higgins's 50.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 60.1.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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