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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.
  • In this week's game, Tee Higgins is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 80th percentile among wide receivers with 7.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the projections to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
  • The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Tee Higgins's 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a significant regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 74.0 rate.
  • Tee Higgins's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 71.6% to 56.2%.

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