Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has posted a colossal 71.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.