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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 62.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to total 7.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tee Higgins has accrued far fewer air yards this year (71.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).
  • Tee Higgins's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 60.1.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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