Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 3, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to garner 8.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has been among the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 80.0 yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tee Higgins has posted quite a few less air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (92.0 per game).
Tee Higgins's 47.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 60.1.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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