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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers

Tee Higgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+104/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a more important option in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (25.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).

Tee Higgins grades out in the 87th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.43 per game.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Completion% in football (68.7%) to WRs this year (68.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Tee Higgins has posted quite a few less air yards this year (69.0 per game) than he did last year (94.0 per game).

Tee Higgins's 44.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 60.6.

The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.62 per game this year.

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