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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-169).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +149 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (25.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.4% in games he has played).
  • Tee Higgins's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 68.2% to 72.9%.
  • Tee Higgins grades out in the 82nd percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.
  • Tee Higgins has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
  • Tee Higgins's 42.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 60.6.

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