Tee Higgins Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the end zone this week (20.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.1% in games he has played).
Tee Higgins's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 67.3% to 75.7%.
Tee Higgins ranks in the 88th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.45 per game.
The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 6th-most TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Tee Higgins has posted far fewer air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).
Tee Higgins's 50.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 60.1.

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