Tee Higgins Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tee Higgins has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
Tee Higgins has notched a whopping 94.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins's 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for wideouts.
Tee Higgins grades out in the 80th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.80 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.