Teddy Bridgewater Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Teddy Bridgewater

QB · Miami Dolphins

Interceptions

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Teddy Bridgewater Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-139/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins will be starting backup QB Teddy Bridgewater in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The New England Patriots pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins have called the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
The New England Patriots have intercepted 0.93 passes per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-best defense in the league by this stat.
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Miami Dolphins have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.