Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
Taysom Hill has averaged 5.9 carries per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (87th percentile).
Taysom Hill has averaged 38.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league among QBs (87th percentile).
Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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