Taysom Hill Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing TD

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM EST

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+369/-742).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -502 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -742.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Taysom Hill has rushed for 0.46 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among QBs (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Saints have been the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 25.0% red zone run rate.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 4th-least TDs in football (0.61 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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