The Commanders are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 4th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.8 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (12.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.6% in games he has played).The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
|