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Taylor Heinicke
NFL · Player Props
Taylor Heinicke
QB · Washington Commanders
Rushing TD
Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Taylor Heinicke Rushing TD

Taylor Heinicke Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+426/-956).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -910 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -956.

Favors Over
  • The Commanders are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 45.6% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone this week (9.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.0% in games he has played).
  • Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most touchdowns in football (1.44 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.11 seconds per play.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Taylor Heinicke has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among quarterbacks (2nd percentile).
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