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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Taylor Heinicke has totaled 0.99 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the -16 percentile among QBs.
  • The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their QB 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.11 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to attempt 31.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

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