Tanner Hudson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tanner Hudson

NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Touchdowns

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1242/-1683).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.9% red zone pass rate.
Tanner Hudson has been one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, catching an exceptional 87.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile.
This year, the anemic Dolphins pass defense has given up a whopping 93.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the largest rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Miami's collection of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a heavy favorite by 7 points.
The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 120.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most TDs in the NFL (1.00 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

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