Tanner Hudson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tanner Hudson

NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 12:47 PM EST

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tanner Hudson has been one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, catching an exceptional 87.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile.
This year, the anemic Dolphins pass defense has given up a whopping 93.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the largest rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Miami's collection of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a heavy favorite by 7 points.
The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 120.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
With a remarkable 18.8% snap rate (12th percentile) since the start of last season, Tanner Hudson places as one of the RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

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