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Tanner Hudson

Tanner Hudson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Tanner Hudson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league (66.9% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 138.0 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • Tanner Hudson's 26.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 11.7.
  • Tanner Hudson's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this season, totaling 3.7 adjusted receptions vs a mere 1.7 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 56.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.0 per game) this year.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Indianapolis's group of safeties has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.

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