Tanner Hudson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tanner Hudson

NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point surge in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Tanner Hudson has been more prominently used in his offense's passing offense.
The Texans pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) versus TEs this year (80.1%).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Houston's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the league.

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