Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (36.4 per game) since the start of last season.
With an outstanding 87.1% Adjusted Completion% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Tanner Hudson has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have only 124.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.
Tanner Hudson has played on 17.1% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 11th percentile among TEs.
The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
With a bad 0.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Tanner Hudson places among the best TEs in the pass game in football in space.
The Jaguars pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.32 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-fewest in football.