Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 11:55 PM EST

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.98 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The New York Giants offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.