Tank Dell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-117).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Texans.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 132.4 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Favors Under
With a 10-point advantage, the Texans are a huge favorite in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Giants defense has conceded the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 141.0) vs. WRs this year.
The New York Giants pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New York's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.