Tank Bigsby Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 28, 2026 7:47 PM EST

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+670/-730).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing more favorable weather this week.
While Tank Bigsby has received 20.9% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Philadelphia's ground game near the goal line this week at 9.2%.
The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
Tank Bigsby places in just the 13th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a bad 2.1 mark since the start of last season.
The receiving TD line reads "0" on Tank Bigsby's player page since the start of last season.