Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 28, 2026 7:52 PM EST

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-165/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 48.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
After comprising 14.6% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Tank Bigsby has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, now comprising 25.5%.
Tank Bigsby's running effectiveness (5.23 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (91st percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing more favorable weather this week.