Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 28, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-340).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing more favorable weather this week.
The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the porous Chicago Bears defense has given up the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a staggering 6.90 yards.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 1.13 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the league.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Tank Bigsby places in just the 13th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a bad 2.1 mark since the start of last season.
Tank Bigsby comes in as one of the weakest pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 3.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 19th percentile among running backs.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Chicago's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.