Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 16, 2026 10:17 AM EST

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+171/-218).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Philadelphia's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We ought to be able to expect some regression with better weather in this game.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Last year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a monstrous 7.16 yards.
Last year, the anemic Titans defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a whopping 0.00 YAC.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 49.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The 9th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.9 per game) last year.
Tank Bigsby's 1.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the NFL: 11th percentile for running backs.