Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tank Bigsby

NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has struggled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 8.45 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.

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