Tank Bigsby Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tank Bigsby

NFL · Player Props

Tank Bigsby

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Tank Bigsby Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/+122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 49.3% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Washington's group of DTs has been very bad last year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The Eagles have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
Philadelphia's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats too high) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some correction with improved weather in this game.

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