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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Sterling Shepard to garner 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among WRs.
  • Sterling Shepard has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 22.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Sterling Shepard has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.3%) to wideouts since the start of last season (70.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.

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